This article examines the effects of the characteristics specified in
the behavioral model of health services utilization and measured at baseline
on the subsequent risk of nursing home placement and death within four
years. Analyses of the 5,151 respondents in the Longitudinal Study on Aging
indicate that the risk for nursing home placement is greater for older
adults, Whites, those who lived alone, persons with telephones, those with
fewer nonkin social supports, those who did not feel that they had much
control over their future health, those with more household ADL or lower
body limitations, and those who had been in the hospital during the year
prior to baseline, or in a nursing home at any time before baseline.
Among the 549 respondents placed in nursing homes, the risk of dying there
was greater for older adults, men, those who had not lived in multigenerational
households, persons who did not worry about their health, individuals with
more upper body limitations, and respondents having a history of valvular
heart disease or cancer. The odds of dying were 2.74 times greater among
the 549 respondents placed in nursing homes than among the 4,602 respondents
who remained in the community.